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2024-12-14 00:15:15

Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.Bank of China Securities Guan Tao: As long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Guan Tao, global chief economist of Bank of China Securities, said that the meeting continued the policy thinking since the end of September and emphasized the need to implement more active and promising macro policies. Among them, implementing a more active fiscal policy is an important point to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment. I believe that as long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected.Ali launched the e-commerce app "Tao" in Japan: in the future, it will expand its staff to explore the local market. On December 12, Alibaba Group held a briefing on the e-commerce app "Tao" launched for the Japanese market. The company said that it will expand its staff in the future and fully explore the Japanese market. According to reports, the APP was launched in October, selling more than 3 million kinds of goods such as clothing, groceries and digital related products. It also has the function of recommending goods by artificial intelligence (AI) according to consumers' preferences. The goods are mainly delivered from China after the consumer places an order, and arrive in Japan a few days later. (Interface News)


On the 13th, coking coal fell by 2.15%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract coking coal closed at 2501, up or down by -2.15%, with a turnover of 104,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 15,553 lots. The total contract turnover of coking coal futures was 180,200 lots, an increase of 8,845 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 163,200 lots, an increase of 4,563 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 194,300 lots, an increase of 5,926 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.Extreme Yue will start two rounds of communication with Baidu and Geely, and the final employee compensation plan will be determined on December 17th. At 4: 30am on December 13th, Extreme Yue Xia Yiping said in the company's entire staff that after communicating with employee representatives, he agreed to the reasonable demands put forward by employees, and made a communication and promotion plan with Baidu and Geely, which will be completed from 13th to 17th. It is understood that the employees of Extreme Vietnam have listed a list of demands, including the requirement to pay five insurances, one gold and one tax for all employees from November to December, the N+1 compensation to be paid before December 31 this year, the settlement of on-the-job wages in December, etc. At the same time, it also involves pregnant women, after-care employees, employees with work-related injuries, employees who have settled down, front-line employees, employee owners, etc. (36Kr)


Baiyun Airport: The passenger throughput in the first November increased by 21.16% year-on-year. Baiyun Airport (600004) released the November production and operation data express on the evening of December 13th, and Baiyun Airport took 43,637 flights (sorties) in November, up by 12.94% year-on-year. Passenger throughput was 6,504,400 person-times, up by 19.94% year-on-year; The cargo and mail throughput was 212,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.68%. Baiyun Airport took off and landed 465,983 sorties from January to November, up 12.05% year-on-year; The passenger throughput was 69.6674 million person-times, up by 21.16% year-on-year; The cargo and mail throughput was 2,161,300 tons, up 18.12% year-on-year.Shen Wanhongyuan: "Vigorously boosting consumption" is the first task of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Shen Wanhongyuan released a research opinion saying that in this Central Economic Work Conference, it can be seen that boosting consumption has once again become the top priority in 2025. The "two innovations" and "two heavyweights" in 2024 are important points of economic work. "Two Innovations" means to promote a new round of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and "Two Innovations" means to implement major national strategies and build safety capacity in key areas, and continue to pay attention to the efforts of fiscal policies including extra-long special national debt in this field.Villeroi, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Interest rates will be cut several times next year. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank, said that the European Central Bank will further reduce borrowing costs in 2025, and there is still a way to go before monetary policy is no longer restrictive. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on BFM Business TV on Friday He added that the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, but was "quite satisfied with the financial market forecast". The current expectation of the swap market is to cut interest rates by about 120 basis points by the end of next year.

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